How truncation bias affects daily COVID reports and predictions:
Transition Model for Coronavirus Management, Covid Economics, Issue 35, July 07 2020
Download (with A. Djogbenou, C. Gourieroux,
P. Rilstone and M. Bandehali) Canadian Journal of Economics, forthcoming
"The work you and your team have done is extremely valuable for the ministry in managing the Province's response for the COVID-19 Pandemic going forward."
Michael Hillmer, PhD, Assistant Deputy Minister | Capacity Planning and Analytics Division, Ministry of Health | Ministry of Long Term Care, Jun 15, 2020
available on: https://cepr.org/content/covid-economics-vetted-and-real-time-papers Covid Economics, Issue 35, July 07 2020
How to infer the count of (asymptomatic) infected and undetected individuals:
Time Varying Markov Process with Partially Observed Aggregate Data: An
Application to Coronavirus, ArXiv 2005.0450 2020
Download (with C. Gourieroux), Journal of Economerics, link
available on: https://search.bvsalud.org/global-literature-on-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov/
World Health Organization (WHO), COVID-19 Global Literature on Coronavirus disease, ID: covidwho-947274
available on: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33281272/ National Library of Medicine, National Center for Biotechnology Information
MEDLINE database of references and abstracts on life sciences and biomedical topics. PubMed was developed and is maintained by the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI),
at the U.S. National Library of Medicine (NLM), located at the National Institutes of Health (NIH)
Discrete time epidemiological models:
Analysis of Virus Transmission: A Transition Model Representation of
Stochastic Epidemiological Models, ArXiv 2006 10265 2020
Download (with C. Gourieroux), Annals of Economics and Statistics,
link
Have Ontario health care workers done a good job at the beginning of the outbreak?
Testing for Endogeneity of Covid-19 Patient Assignments
Download (with A. Djogbenou and C. Gourieroux), Journal of Financial Econometrics,
link
available on: https://search.bvsalud.org/global-literature-on-novel-coronavirus-2019-ncov/
World Health Organization (WHO), COVID-19 Global Literature on Coronavirus disease, ID: covidwho-1032289
Two interesting and unpublished figures showing the counts of patients under medical care during the early stage of COVID-19 in Ontario.
Daily Counts of Medical Care States ER, Hospitalization, ICU, Ventilation, Intubation
Download
Daily Counts of Medical Care States ER, Hospitalization, ICU, Ventilation, Intubation and Cumulated Death
Download
State of Emergency in Ontario, 2020, by M. Gourieroux: "The Great Indoors"
Download presentation slides: "Time Varying Markov Process with Partially Observed Aggregate Data"
Download presentation recording, C. Gourieroux